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Global Risk Update: 0003

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Updated: Jan 15

Global Risk Update - January 13, 2025



Executive Summary

The global security landscape is increasingly complex, with significant developments in geopolitical tensions, cybersecurity threats, and regional conflicts. Key issues include the U.S. Department of Defense's designation of major Chinese companies as military-linked, Israel's strategic challenges in the Red Sea, and China's diplomatic engagements in Africa amid shifting global attention.


Regional Highlights

  • North America: The U.S. Department of Defense has added several Chinese firms, including Tencent and CATL, to a list of companies allegedly linked to the Chinese military. These designations may lead to sanctions and increased scrutiny of Chinese investments in the U.S., potentially affecting bilateral economic relations.

    AP News


  • Europe: French President Emmanuel Macron has affirmed France's alliance with the U.S. under President Donald Trump, while urging Ukraine to adopt a realistic approach to territorial disputes. Macron's statements reflect Europe's strategic recalibrations in response to shifting U.S. policies and ongoing conflicts in Eastern Europe.


  • Middle East & Africa: Israel faces strategic challenges from Houthi missile attacks originating in Yemen. Debate continues over whether to target Houthi forces directly or focus on Iran, their primary supporter. This situation underscores the complexities of proxy conflicts and regional power dynamics.


  • Asia-Pacific: China's top diplomat, Wang Yi, is conducting a New Year tour of Africa, visiting countries such as Namibia, the Republic of Congo, Chad, and Nigeria. This visit highlights China's ongoing commitment to strengthening ties with African nations, especially as Western engagement appears to wane.


Thematic Analysis

Cybersecurity Threats: State-sponsored cyber activities are intensifying, with actors from China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran targeting critical infrastructure globally. The increasing sophistication of these threats necessitates robust cybersecurity measures to protect national and corporate interests.


Risk Level Assessment

  • Low Risk: Stable conditions with minimal concerns.

  • Moderate Risk: Emerging issues that warrant attention.

  • High Risk: Significant developments requiring immediate consideration.


Regional Risk Levels:

  • North America: Moderate Risk (economic and cybersecurity concerns)

  • Europe: Moderate Risk (political realignments and security challenges)

  • Middle East & Africa: High Risk (regional conflicts and proxy wars)

  • Asia-Pacific: Moderate Risk (geopolitical tensions and strategic maneuvers)


Stay ahead of emerging threats with Custodia's bespoke risk management solutions. Contact us at www.custodia.co.uk to safeguard your operations.

Additional Resources

Explore our in-depth reports, webinars, and expert analysis to further enhance your risk awareness. Visit Custodia.

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